منابع مشابه
Nonlinear chaotic model for predicting storm surges
This paper addresses the use of the methods of nonlinear dynamics and chaos theory for building a predictive chaotic model from time series. The chaotic model predictions are made by the adaptive local models based on the dynamical neighbors found in the reconstructed phase space of the observables. We implemented the univariate and multivariate chaotic models with direct and multi-steps predic...
متن کاملModeling the physics of storm surges
cated on the coast and 44% of the world’s population lives within 150 km of the ocean.1 Unfortunately, coastal regions are often low-lying and thus susceptible to an increase in seasurface elevation. A storm surge is a potentially devastating rise in the sea surface caused by extratropical cyclones or by tropical cyclones such as hurricanes and typhoons. Surges can lead to large loss of human l...
متن کاملObserving storm surges from space: Hurricane Igor off Newfoundland
Coastal communities are becoming increasingly more vulnerable to storm surges under a changing climate. Tide gauges can be used to monitor alongshore variations of a storm surge, but not cross-shelf features. In this study we combine Jason-2 satellite measurements with tide-gauge data to study the storm surge caused by Hurricane Igor off Newfoundland. Satellite observations reveal a storm surge...
متن کاملStorm Surges in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas
Specific problems of storm surge modeling in the polar seas are analyzed. The vertically integrated equations of motion and continuity are applied to the prediction of the storm surge wave in both the ice-free and ice-covered seas. The interactions of atmosphere, ice, and water are expressed by the normal and tangential stresses. A numerical grid is set over the Chukchi and Beaufort seas, and t...
متن کاملSome Problems Involved in the Study of Storm Surges
The various forces which affect the height of the sea' and the response of the sea to these forces are reviewed. An attempt to clarify the interactions among the astronomical, climatological, and meteorological forces involved, reveals that the response to any given force varies from one part of the sea to another, and that a complete separation of the effects produced by the various forces is ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Nature Climate Change
سال: 2016
ISSN: 1758-678X,1758-6798
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2986